Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.857123 4.117453 4.398342 4.726115 5.100947 5.519774 6.028308
2025-02-16 3.379569 3.715629 4.099064 4.575948 5.163707 5.879750 6.844373
2025-02-23 3.010835 3.383828 3.827943 4.409266 5.172776 6.178964 7.681517
2025-03-02 2.698511 3.082847 3.555498 4.199587 5.091121 6.349790 8.422970
2025-03-09 2.489221 2.886604 3.390184 4.103440 5.143947 6.724086 9.638244
2025-03-16 2.288757 2.683088 3.193934 3.938909 5.071393 6.898141 10.628378
2025-03-23 2.170993 2.576316 3.114761 3.927245 5.225618 7.488057 12.821799
2025-03-30 2.058990 2.467763 3.022113 3.883018 5.320213 8.010385 15.375690
2025-04-06 1.948897 2.353586 2.911202 3.797028 5.329264 8.378484 18.016954
2025-04-13 1.838575 2.231979 2.780062 3.664757 5.234743 8.506428 20.167175
2025-04-20 1.788554 2.190969 2.762513 3.711620 5.476632 9.495971 28.252603
2025-04-27 1.751193 2.164982 2.764409 3.789915 5.796931 10.869872 46.769087
2025-05-04 1.700729 2.121199 2.742090 3.836214 6.093647 12.511458 108.302313
2025-05-11 1.649147 2.072994 2.709702 3.862511 6.363834 14.406516 1805.330237
2025-05-18 1.590627 2.011280 2.651512 3.835372 6.510336 16.097358 NaN
2025-05-25 1.523725 1.933598 2.562416 3.740403 6.471400 17.010442 NaN
2025-06-01 1.474984 1.881054 2.510994 3.712933 6.604875 19.126077 NaN
2025-06-08 1.416614 1.811055 2.426343 3.611205 6.516972 19.922543 NaN
2025-06-15 1.383558 1.778457 2.402087 3.628268 6.770988 23.791627 NaN
2025-06-22 1.346953 1.738538 2.362740 3.609884 6.920362 27.625694 NaN
2025-06-29 1.306018 1.690062 2.305863 3.548862 6.924600 30.345749 NaN
2025-07-06 1.260380 1.632499 2.230433 3.441785 6.758905 30.707895 NaN
2025-07-13 1.242027 1.617314 2.227754 3.491349 7.128294 41.576997 NaN